September 13, Happy Valley Race 8

Today’s Race of the Day from Happy Valley is the featured 8th Race: the Class 2 Washington DC over 1650M. Today we’ll break with our general rule of posting objective analysis here, and offer up a selection: Doyeni looks formidable in this spot at a healthy price.

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#2 Doyeni must have been the best horse in Hong Kong not to win a race last season. While he mustered only a 3rd place from 4 starts, he was flying late in every start, twice missing by a length or less against top milers Booming Delight and Eastern Express. He has shown the ability to consistently eclipse a triple digit speed figure, even under a significant impost as he’ll deal with today (carrying 128 pounds, he is the effective high weight after #1 Packing Dragon drops 7 pounds under apprentice Matthew Poon).

In his only performance last season in which earned below a 99 speed figure, Doyeni's jockey, Kei Chiong earned a suspension for questionable riding tactics in the stretch. In the others he fired 109, 101, and 99 (all above par for the Class). 

On the downside, he will need to win from barrier #10, and jockey Douglas Whyte has yet to hit the board this season. The goal is for him to get over and settle without losing too much ground before uncorking a huge rally. With a reasonable run he should inhale these in the straight. Currently at odds of 9.1, he’s a terrific bet at a big price.

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